Associations of MRI-derived kidney volume, kidney function, body composition and physical performance in ≈38 000 UK Biobank participants: a population-based observational study.

Background: Kidney volume is used as a predictive and therapeutic marker for several clinical conditions. However, there is a lack of large-scale studies examining the relationship between kidney volume and various clinicodemographic factors, including kidney function, body composition and physical performance. Methods: In this observational study, MRI-derived kidney volume measurements from 38 526 UK Biobank participants were analysed. Major kidney volume-related measures included body surface area (BSA)-adjusted total kidney volume (TKV) and the difference in bilateral kidneys. Multivariable-adjusted linear regression and cubic spline analyses were used to explore the association between kidney volume-related measures and clinicodemographic factors. Cox or logistic regression was used to identify the risks of death, non-kidney cancer, myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Results: The median of BSA-adjusted TKV and the difference in kidney volume were 141.9 ml/m2 [interquartile range (IQR) 128.1-156.9] and 1.08-fold (IQR 1.04-1.15), respectively. Higher BSA-adjusted TKV was significantly associated with higher estimated glomerular filtration rate {eGFR; ß = 0.43 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.42-0.44]; P < .001}, greater muscle volume [ß = 0.50 (95% CI 0.48-0.51); P < .001] and greater mean handgrip strength [ß = 0.15 (95% CI 0.13-0.16); P < .001] but lower visceral adipose tissue volume [VAT; ß = -0.09 (95% CI -0.11 to -0.07); P < .001] in adjusted models. A greater difference in bilateral kidney volumes was associated with lower eGFR, muscle volume and physical performance but with higher proteinuria and VAT. Higher BSA-adjusted TKV was significantly associated with a reduced risk of CKD [odds ratio (OR) 0.7 (95% CI 0.63-0.77); P < .001], while a greater difference in kidney volume was significantly associated with an increased risk of CKD [OR 1.13 (95% CI 1.07-1.20); P < .001]. Conclusion: Higher BSA-adjusted TKV and lower differences in bilateral kidney volumes are associated with higher kidney function, muscle volume and physical performance and a reduced risk of CKD.

Risk of mortality and cause of death according to kidney function parameters: a nationwide observational study in Korea.

BACKGROUND: Further study is warranted to determine the association between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or albuminuria and the risk of death from diverse causes. METHODS: We screened >10 million general health screening examinees who received health examinations conducted in 2009 using the claims database of Korea. After the exclusion of those previously diagnosed with renal failure and those with missing data, 9,917,838 individuals with available baseline kidney function measurements were included. The primary outcome was mortality and cause-specific death between 2009 and 2019 identified through death certificates based on the diagnostic codes of International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision. Multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for various clinicodemographic and social characteristics was used to assess mortality risk. RESULTS: The hazard ratio of death was significantly high in both the eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and in the eGFR ≥120 mL/ min/1.73 m2 groups in univariable and multivariable regression analyses when compared to those within the reference range (eGFR of 90-120 mL/min/1.73 m2). The results were similar for death by cardiovascular, cancer, infection, endocrine, respiratory, and digestive causes. We also found that albuminuria was associated with higher risk of death regardless of eGFR range, and those in the higher categories of dipstick albuminuria showed higher risk. CONCLUSION: We reconfirmed the significant association between eGFR, albuminuria, and mortality. Healthcare providers should keep in mind that albuminuria and decreased eGFR as well as kidney hyperfiltration are independent predictors of mortality.

Association between dyslipidemia and the risk of incident chronic kidney disease affected by genetic susceptibility: Polygenic risk score analysis.

BACKGROUND: The effect of dyslipidemia on kidney disease outcomes has been inconclusive, and it requires further clarification. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the effects of genetic factors on the association between dyslipidemia and the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) using polygenic risk score (PRS). METHODS: We analyzed data from 373,523 participants from the UK Biobank aged 40-69 years with no history of CKD. Baseline data included plasma levels of total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglyceride, as well as genome-wide genotype data for PRS. Our primary outcome, incident CKD, was defined as a composite of estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 and CKD diagnosis according to International Classification of Disease-10 codes. The effects of the association between lipid levels and PRS on incident CKD were assessed using the Cox proportional hazards model. To investigate the effect of this association, we introduced multiplicative interaction terms into a multivariate analysis model and performed subgroup analysis stratified by PRS tertiles. RESULTS: In total, 4,424 participants developed CKD. In the multivariable analysis, PRS was significantly predictive of the risk of incident CKD as both a continuous variable and a categorized variable. In addition, lower total cholesterol, LDL-C, HDL-C, and higher triglyceride levels were significantly associated with the risk of incident CKD. There were interactions between triglycerides and intermediate and high PRS, and the interactions were inversely associated with the risk of incident CKD. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that PRS presented significant predictive power for incident CKD and individuals in the low-PRS group had a higher risk of triglyceride-related incident CKD.

The estimated mediating roles of anemia-related variables in the association between kidney function and mortality: a National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) study.

Anemia is a common complication of chronic kidney disease (CKD), impacting long-term outcomes such as mortality and morbidity. Analyzing NHANES data from 1999 through 2016 for adults aged ≥ 20 years, we assessed the mediating effects of anemia biomarkers (hemoglobin, hematocrit, red cell distribution width [RDW], and mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration [MCHC]) on CKD-related outcomes by using hazard ratios from a biomarker-adjusted model. Of 44,099 participants, 7463 experienced all-cause death. Cox proportional hazard models revealed a higher all-cause mortality risk in the > 45 years and CKD groups than in the early CKD group. Hemoglobin, hematocrit and MCHC were inversely related to all-cause mortality; RDW was related to mortality. Single mediation analysis showed greater mediating effects of anemia indicators on CKD and mortality in the elderly (> 65 years) population than those in the general population. In the multimediation analysis, the combined mediating effect of anemia was higher in the CKD population than in the general population. This study showed a proportional increase in the mediating effect of anemia with CKD stage, suggesting potential therapeutic avenues. However, further exploration of other mediating factors on kidney outcomes is necessary.

Antibiotic-induced intestinal microbiota depletion can attenuate the acute kidney injury to chronic kidney disease transition via NADPH oxidase 2 and trimethylamine-N-oxide inhibition.

Intestinal microbiota and their metabolites affect systemic inflammation and kidney disease outcomes. Here, we investigated the key metabolites associated with the acute kidney injury (AKI)-to chronic kidney disease (CKD) transition and the effect of antibiotic-induced microbiota depletion (AIMD) on this transition. In 61 patients with AKI, 59 plasma metabolites were assessed to determine the risk of AKI-to-CKD transition. An AKI-to-CKD transition murine model was established four weeks after unilateral ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) to determine the effects of AIMD on the gut microbiome, metabolites, and pathological responses related to CKD transition. Human proximal tubular epithelial cells were challenged with CKD transition-related metabolites, and inhibitory effects of NADPH oxidase 2 (NOX2) signals were tested. Based on clinical metabolomics, plasma trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) was associated with a significantly increased risk for AKI-to-CKD transition [adjusted odds ratio 4.389 (95% confidence interval 1.106-17.416)]. In vivo, AIMD inhibited a unilateral IRI-induced increase in TMAO, along with a decrease in apoptosis, inflammation, and fibrosis. The expression of NOX2 and oxidative stress decreased after AIMD. In vitro, TMAO induced fibrosis with NOX2 activation and oxidative stress. NOX2 inhibition successfully attenuated apoptosis, inflammation, and fibrosis with suppression of G2/M arrest. NOX2 inhibition (in vivo) showed improvement in pathological changes with a decrease in oxidative stress without changes in TMAO levels. Thus, TMAO is a key metabolite associated with the AKI-to-CKD transition, and NOX2 activation was identified as a key regulator of TMAO-related AKI-to-CKD transition both in vivo and in vitro.

Long-term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease.

Health risks due to climate change are emerging, particularly from high-temperature exposure. The perceived temperature is an equivalent temperature based on the complete heat budget model of the human body. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the effect of perceived temperature on overall mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease. In total, 32,870 patients with chronic kidney disease in Seoul participated in this retrospective study (2001-2018) at three medical centers. The perceived temperature during the summer season was calculated using meteorological factors, including the air temperature near the automated weather station, dew point temperature, wind velocity, and total cloud amount. We assessed the association between perceived temperature using Kriging spatial interpolation and mortality in patients with CKD in the time-varying Cox proportional hazards model that was adjusted for sex, age, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, estimated glomerular filtration rate, smoking, alcohol consumption, and educational level. During the 6.14 ± 3.96 years of follow-up, 3863 deaths were recorded. In multivariable analysis, the average level of perceived temperature and maximum level of perceived temperature demonstrated an increased risk of overall mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease. The concordance index for mortality of perceived temperature was higher than temperature, discomfort index, and heat index. When stratified by age, diabetes mellitus, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, patients with chronic kidney disease with young age (age <65 years) showed higher hazard ratio for mortality (interaction P = 0.049). Moreover, the risk of death in the winter and spring seasons was more significant compared to that of the summer and autumn seasons. Therefore, long-term exposure to high perceived temperature during summer increases the risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease.

Long-term ozone exposure and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease: a large cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies on the effects of long-term exposure to ozone (O3) have shown inconclusive results. It is unclear whether to O3 has an effect on chronic kidney disease (CKD). We investigated the effects of O3 on mortality and renal outcome in CKD. METHODS: We included 61,073 participants and applied Cox proportional hazards models to examine the effects of ozone on the risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and mortality in a two-pollutants model adjusted for socioeconomic status. We calculated the concentration of ozone exposure one year before enrollment and used inverse distance weighting (IDW) for interpolation, where the exposure was evenly distributed. RESULTS: In the single pollutant model, O3 was significantly associated with an increased risk of ESRD and all-cause mortality. Based on the O3 concentration from IDW interpolation, this moving O3 average was significantly associated with an increased risk of ESRD and all-cause mortality. In a two-pollutants model, even after we adjusted for other measured pollutants, nitrogen dioxide did not attenuate the result for O3. The hazard ratio (HR) value for the district-level assessment is 1.025 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.014-1.035, while for the point-level assessment, the HR value is 1.04 with a 95% CI of 1.035-1.045. The impact of ozone on ESRD, hazard ratio (HR) values are, 1.049(95%CI: 1.044-1.054) at the district unit and 1.04 (95%CI: 1.031-1.05) at the individual address of the exposure assessment. The ozone hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 1.012 (95% confidence interval: 1.008-1.017) for administrative districts and 1.04 (95% confidence interval: 1.031-1.05) for individual addresses. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that long-term ambient O3 increases the risk of ESRD and mortality in CKD. The strategy to decrease O3 emissions will substantially benefit health and the environment.

Kidney Health Plan 2033 in Korea: bridging the gap between the present and the future.

In response to the increase in the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in Korea, the growth of patients requiring renal replacement therapy and the subsequent increase in medical costs, the rapid expansion of patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), and the decrease in patients receiving home therapy, including peritoneal dialysis, the Korean Society of Nephrology has proclaimed the new policy, Kidney Health Plan 2033 (KHP 2033). KHP 2033 would serve as a milestone to bridge the current issues to a future solution by directing the prevention and progression of CKD and ESKD, particularly diabetic kidney disease, and increasing the proportion of home therapy, thereby reducing the socioeconomic burden of kidney disease and improving the quality of life. Here, we provide the background for the necessity of KHP 2033, as well as the contents of KHP 2033, and enlighten the Korean Society of Nephrology's future goals. Together with patients, healthcare providers, academic societies, and national policymakers, we need to move forward with goal-oriented drive and leadership to achieve these goals.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis causally affects kidney function decline: A Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The causal linkage between primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and kidney function is unexplored despite their potential for long-term detrimental effects on kidney function. METHODS: Two-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization (MR) study was conducted to identify the association between PSC and kidney function. The genetic variants were extracted from the PSC-specific multi-trait analyzed genome-wide association study (GWAS) of European ancestry. Summary-level data for kidney function traits, including estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), annual eGFR decline, and chronic kidney disease (CKD), were obtained from the CKDGen consortium. Multiplicative random-effects inverse-variance weighted (MR-IVW), and a series of pleiotropy-robust analyses were performed to investigate the causal effects and ascertain their robustness. RESULTS: Significant causal associations between genetically predicted PSC and kidney function traits were identified. Genetically predicted PSC was associated with decreased log-transformed eGFR (MR-IVW; beta = -0.41%; standard error [SE] = 0.02%; P < 0.001), increased rate of annual eGFR decline (MR-IVW; beta = 2.43%; SE = 0.18%; P < 0.001), and higher risk of CKD (MR-IVW; odds ratio = 1.07; 95% confidence interval = 1.06-1.08; P < 0.001). The main findings were supported by pleiotropy-robust analysis, including MR-Egger with bootstrapped error and weighted median. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates that genetically predicted PSC is causally associated with kidney function impairment. Further studies are warranted to identify the underlying mechanisms.

Periostin deficiency attenuates kidney fibrosis in diabetic nephropathy by improving pancreatic ß-cell dysfunction and reducing kidney EMT.

Diabetic nephropathy (DN) is associated with kidney fibrosis. A previous study revealed that periostin (POSTN) contributes to kidney fibrosis. This study examined the role of POSTN in DN. The urinary concentrations of POSTN and TNC increased according to the severity of DN in human samples. Streptozotocin (STZ) was administered after unilateral nephrectomy (UNXSTZ) to induce DN in wild-type and Postn-null mice. Four experimental groups were generated: wild-typeham (WT Sham), wild-type UNXSTZ (WT STZ), Postn-null Sham (KO Sham), and Postn-null UNXSTZ (KO STZ). After 20 weeks, the KO STZ group had lower levels of urine albumin excretion, glomerular sclerosis, and interstitial fibrosis than those of the WT STZ group. Additionally, the KO STZ group had lower expression of fibrosis markers, including TNC. The KO STZ group showed better glucose regulation than the WT STZ model. Furthermore, the KO STZ group exhibited significantly preserved pancreatic islet integrity and insulin expression. HK-2 cells were used to observe the aggravation of fibrosis caused by POSTN under TGF-ß conditions. We stimulated INS-1 cells with streptozotocin and evaluated the viability of these cells. The anti-POSTN antibody treatment of INS-1 cells with streptozotocin resulted in higher cell viability than that with treatment with streptozotocin alone. The absence of POSTN in DN contributes to renal fibrosis alleviation by improving pancreatic ß-cell function. Additionally, there is an association between POSTN and TNC.

Impact of decreased levels of total CO2 on in-hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19.

Decreased total CO2 (tCO2) is significantly associated with all-cause mortality in critically ill patients. Because of a lack of data to evaluate the impact of tCO2 in patients with COVID-19, we assessed the impact of tCO2 on all-cause mortality in this study. We retrospectively reviewed the data of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in two Korean referral hospitals between February 2020 and September 2021. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We assessed the impact of tCO2 as a continuous variable on mortality using the Cox-proportional hazard model. In addition, we evaluated the relative factors associated with tCO2 ≤ 22 mmol/L using logistic regression analysis. In 4,423 patients included, the mean tCO2 was 24.8 ± 3.0 mmol/L, and 17.9% of patients with tCO2 ≤ 22 mmol/L. An increase in mmol/L of tCO2 decreased the risk of all-cause mortality by 4.8% after adjustment for age, sex, comorbidities, and laboratory values. Based on 22 mmol/L of tCO2, the risk of mortality was 1.7 times higher than that in patients with lower tCO2. This result was maintained in the analysis using a cutoff value of tCO2 24 mmol/L. Higher white blood cell count; lower hemoglobin, serum calcium, and eGFR; and higher uric acid, and aspartate aminotransferase were significantly associated with a tCO2 value ≤ 22 mmol/L. Decreased tCO2 significantly increased the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with COVID-19. Monitoring of tCO2 could be a good indicator to predict prognosis and it needs to be appropriately managed in patients with specific conditions.

Revisiting metformin therapy for the mitigation of diabetic foot ulcer in patients with diabetic kidney disease from real-world evidence.

Diabetic foot ulcer and diabetic kidney disease are diabetes-related chronic vascular complications that strongly correlate with high morbidity and mortality. Although metformin potentially confers a wound-healing advantage, no well-established clinical evidence supports the benefit of metformin for diabetic foot ulcer. Thus, this study investigated the effect of metformin on diabetic foot ulcer from a large diabetic kidney disease cohort for the first time. This retrospective cohort study enrolled 10 832 patients who visited the nephrology department more than twice at two South Korean tertiary-referral centers between 2001 and 2016. The primary outcome was diabetic foot ulcer events; secondary outcomes included hospitalization, amputation, a composite of amputation or vascular intervention, and Wagner Grade ≥ 3. Multivariate Cox analysis and propensity score matching (PSM) were used to balance baseline intergroup differences between metformin users and non-users. In total, 4748 patients were metformin users, and 6084 patients were metformin non-users. Over a follow-up period of 117.5 ± 66.9 months, the diabetic foot ulcer incidence was 5.2%. After PSM, metformin users showed a lower incidence of diabetic foot ulcer events than metformin non-users (adjusted hazard ratio 0.41; p < 0.001). In a sensitivity analysis of 563 patients with diabetic foot ulcer, metformin usage was associated with lower severity in all four secondary outcomes: hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio 0.33; p < 0.001); amputation (adjusted hazard ratio 0.44; p = 0.001); composite of amputation or vascular intervention (adjusted hazard ratio 0.47; p < 0.001); and Wagner Grade ≥ 3 (adjusted hazard ratio 0.39; p < 0.001). In conclusion, metformin therapy in patients with diabetic kidney disease can lower diabetic foot ulcer incidence and progression.

Comparison of the performance of currently used estimated glomerular filtration rate equations with 24-hour urine creatinine clearance: sample analysis of randomised controlled trial participants.

OBJECTIVE: There are several equations for estimating the glomerular filtration rate (GFR), and each method has its limitations. We compared various estimated GFR (eGFR) equations with 24 hours urine creatinine clearance (24u-CCr). DESIGN: Sample analysis of randomised controlled trial participants. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We compared the mean 24u-CCr values measured 2-3 times for 211 patients with eGFR values calculated using the following equations: isotope dilution mass spectrometry-Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (IDMS-MDRD) equation, Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation, equations for Koreans (KOR-IDMS-MDRD and KOR-CKD-EPI) and full age spectrum equation. OUTCOME MEASURES: Performance of various creatinine-based eGFR equations, including those with Korean coefficients, compared with the results of the 24u-CCr. RESULTS: IDMS-MDRD showed the best overall correlation with the 24u-CCr (R=0.949, p<0.001), and KOR-CKD-EPI showed the best agreement in terms of the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC, 0.969, 95% CI 0.959 to 0.976, p<0.001). In subgroup analysis, IDMS-MDRD-GFR showed the highest ICCs in CKD stages 1 and 3 (ICC 0.872 in stage 1 and 0.927 in CKD stage 3, all p<0.001). KOR-CKD-EPI showed the highest ICC in CKD stage 2 (ICC 0.854, p<0.001). Overall, the accuracy of CKD-EPI (2021) was the highest at P15 (15%) and P30 (30%) (P15: 65.4 and P30: 97.6). In addition, CKD-EPI (2021) showed the highest P30 accuracy in CKD stage 1 (98.7), whereas KOR-IDMS-MDRD showed the highest P30 accuracy in CKD stages 2 and 3 (98.8 and 98.2, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The IDMS-MDRD equation showed the best correlation and overall good agreement with the 24u-CCr; however, the accuracy was low. The most accurate measurements were obtained using the CKD-EPI (2021) equation in CKD stage 1 and the KOR-IDMS-MDRD equation in CKD stages 2-3; nevertheless, the CKD-EPI (2021) equation showed the best overall accuracy. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01552954.

Urine myo-inositol as a novel prognostic biomarker for diabetic kidney disease: a targeted metabolomics study using nuclear magnetic resonance.

BACKGROUND: As a leading cause of chronic kidney disease, clinical demand for noninvasive biomarkers of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) beyond proteinuria is increasing. Metabolomics is a popular method to identify mechanisms and biomarkers. We investigated urinary targeted metabolomics in DKD patients. METHODS: We conducted a targeted metabolomics study of 26 urinary metabolites in consecutive patients with DKD stage 1 to 5 (n = 208) and healthy controls (n = 26). The relationships between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or urine protein-creatinine ratio (UPCR) and metabolites were evaluated. Multivariate Cox analysis was used to estimate relationships between urinary metabolites and the target outcome, end-stage renal disease (ESRD). C statistics and time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) were used to assess diagnostic validity. RESULTS: During a median 4.5 years of follow-up, 103 patients (44.0%) progressed to ESRD and 65 (27.8%) died. The median fold changes of nine metabolites belonged to monosaccharide and tricarboxylic acid (TCA) cycle metabolites tended to increase with DKD stage. Myo-inositol, choline, and citrates were correlated with eGFR and choline, while mannose and myo-inositol were correlated with UPCR. Elevated urinary monosaccharide and TCA cycle metabolites showed associations with increased morality and ESRD progression. The predictive power of ESRD progression was high, in the order of choline, myo-inositol, and citrate. Although urinary metabolites alone were less predictive than serum creatinine or UPCR, myo-inositol had additive effect with serum creatinine and UPCR. In time-dependent ROC, myo-inositol was more predictive than UPCR of 1-year ESRD progression prediction. CONCLUSION: Myo-inositol can be used as an additive biomarker of ESRD progression in DKD.

Causal Effect of Chondroitin, Glucosamine, Vitamin, and Mineral Intake on Kidney Function: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

The causal effects of chondroitin, glucosamine, and vitamin/mineral supplement intake on kidney function remain unknown, despite being commonly used. We conducted a two-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to test for causal associations between regular dietary supplement intake and kidney function. Genetic instruments for chondroitin, glucosamine, and vitamin/mineral supplement intake were obtained from a genome-wide association study of European ancestry. Summary statistics for the log-transformed estimated glomerular filtration rate (log-eGFR) were provided by the CKDGen consortium. The multiplicative random-effects inverse-variance weighted method showed that genetically predicted chondroitin and glucosamine intake was causally associated with a lower eGFR (chondroitin, eGFR change beta = -0.113%, standard error (SE) = 0.03%, p-value = 2 × 10-4; glucosamine, eGFR change beta = -0.240%, SE = 0.035%, p-value = 6 × 10-12). However, a genetically predicted vitamin/mineral supplement intake was associated with a higher eGFR (eGFR change beta = 1.426%, SE = 0.136%, p-value = 1 × 10-25). Validation analyses and pleiotropy-robust MR results for chondroitin and vitamin/mineral supplement intake supported the main results. Our MR study suggests a potential causal effect of chondroitin and glucosamine intake on kidney function. Therefore, clinicians should carefully monitor their long-term effects.

Causal effects from tobacco smoking initiation on obesity-related traits: a Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: There is a widespread notion that tobacco smoking controls weight based on the appetite suppressive effect of nicotine. However, the causal relationship between smoking initiation and obesity-related traits in the general population are unclear. METHODS: This Mendelian randomization analysis utilized 378 genetic variants associated with tobacco smoking initiation (usually in adolescence or young adulthood) identified in a genome-wide association study (meta-analysis) of 1.2 million individuals. Outcome data for body mass index, waist circumference, hip circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio were extracted from the 337,138 white British-ancestry UK Biobank participants aged 40-69 years. Replication analyses were performed for genome-wide association study meta-analysis for body mass index, including the GERA/GIANT data including 364,487 samples from mostly European individuals. In addition, summary-level Mendelian randomization by inverse variance weighted method and pleiotropy-robust Mendelian randomization methods, including median-based and MR-Egger regression, was performed. RESULTS: Summary-level Mendelian randomization analysis indicated that genetically predicted smoking initiation is causally linked to higher body mass index [+0.28 (0.18-0.38) kg/m2], waist circumference [+0.88 (0.66-1.10) cm], hip circumference [+0.40 (0.23-0.57) cm], and waist-to-hip ratio [+0.006 (0.005-0.007)]. These results were consistent with those of the pleiotropy-robust Mendelian randomization analysis. Additionally, in replication analysis, genetically predicted smoking initiation was significantly associated with a higher body mass index [+0.03 (0.01, 0.05] kg/m2). CONCLUSION: Tobacco initiation may lead to worse obesity-related traits in the general 40- to 69-year-old individuals. Therefore, tobacco-use initiation as a long-term weight-control measure should be discouraged.

Genetic variations in HMGCR and PCSK9 and kidney function: a Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: The genetically predicted lipid-lowering effect of HMGCR or PCSK9 variant can be used to assess drug proxy effects on kidney function. METHODS: Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis-identified HMGCR and PCSK9 genetic variants were used to predict the low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol-lowering effects of medications targeting related molecules. Primary summary-level outcome data for log-estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; creatinine) were provided by the CKDGen Consortium (n = 1,004,040 European) from a meta-analysis of CKDGen and UK Biobank data. We also conducted a separate investigation of summary-level data from CKDGen (n = 567,460, log-eGFR [creatinine]) and UK Biobank (n = 436,581, log-eGFR [cystatin C]) samples. Summary-level MRs using an inverse variance weighted method and pleiotropy-robust methods were performed. RESULTS: Summary-level MR analysis indicated that the LDL-lowering effect predicted genetically by HMGCR variants (50-mg/dL decrease) was significantly associated with a decrease in eGFR (-1.67%; 95% confidence interval [CI], -2.20% to -1.13%). Similar significance was found in results from the pleiotropy-robust MR methods when the CKDGen and UK Biobank data were analyzed separately. However, the LDL-lowering effect predicted genetically by PCSK9 variants was significantly associated with an increase in eGFR (+1.17%; 95% CI, 0.10%-2.25%). The results were similarly supported by the weighted median method and in each CKDGen and UK Biobank dataset, but the significance obtained by MR-Egger regression was attenuated. CONCLUSION: Genetically predicted HMG-CoA reductase inhibition was associated with low eGFR, while genetically predicted PCSK9 inhibition was associated with high eGFR. Clinicians should consider that the direct effect of different types of lipid-lowering medication on kidney function can vary.

Mendelian randomization uncovers a protective effect of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist on kidney function.

Interleukins (ILs), key cytokine family of inflammatory response, are closely associated with kidney function. However, the causal effect of various ILs on kidney function needs further investigation. Here we show two-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis that examined the causality between serum IL levels and kidney function. Genetic variants with strong association with serum IL levels were obtained from a previous genome-wide association study meta-analysis. Summary-level data for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were obtained from CKDGen database. As a main MR analysis, multiplicative random-effects inverse-variance weighted method was performed. Pleiotropy-robust MR analysis, including MR-Egger with bootstrapped error and weighted median methods, were also implemented. We tested the causal estimates from nine ILs on eGFR traits. Among the results, higher genetically predicted serum IL-1 receptor antagonist level was significantly associated with higher eGFR values in the meta-analysis of CKDGen and the UK Biobank data. In addition, the result was consistent towards eGFR decline phenotype of the outcome database. Otherwise, nonsignificant association was identified between other genetically predicted ILs and eGFR outcome. These findings support the clinical importance of IL-1 receptor antagonist-associated pathway in relation to kidney function in the general individuals, particularly highlighting the importance of IL-1 receptor antagonist.

Genetically Predicted Body Selenium Concentration and estimated GFR: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

Introduction: Selenium is a trace mineral that is commonly included in micronutrient supplements. The effect of selenium on kidney function remains unclear. A genetically predicted micronutrient and its association with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) can be used to assess the causal estimates by Mendelian randomization (MR). Methods: In this MR study, we instrumented 11 genetic variants associated with blood or total selenium levels from a previous genome-wide association study (GWAS). The association between genetically predicted selenium concentration and eGFR was first assessed by summary-level MR in the chronic kidney disease(CKDGen) GWAS meta-analysis summary statistics, including 567,460 European samples. Inverse-variance weighted and pleiotropy-robust MR analyses were performed, in addition to multivariable MR adjusted for the effects of type 2 diabetes mellitus. Replication analysis was performed with individual-level UK Biobank data, including 337,318 White individuals of British ancestry. Results: Summary-level MR analysis indicated that a genetically predicted 1 SD increase in selenium concentration was significantly associated with lower eGFR (-1.05 [-1.28, -0.82] %). The results were similarly reproduced by pleiotropy-robust MR analysis, including MR-Egger and weighted-median methods, and consistent even in the multivariable MR adjusted for diabetes. In the UK Biobank data, genetically predicted higher selenium concentration was also significantly associated with lower eGFR (- 0.36 [-0.52, -0.20] %), and the results were similar when body mass index, waist circumference, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus covariates were adjusted (-0.33 [-0.50, -0.17] %). Conclusion: This MR study supports the hypothesis that higher genetically predicted body selenium is causally associated with lower eGFR.